Editing Pd-test2 (section)

==== Pathways linking socioeconomic development, mitigation responses and land ====

<p>Socioeconomic development and land management influence the evolution of the land system including the relative amount of land allocated to <span class="s172">CROPLAND</span>, <span class="s173">PASTURE</span>, <span class="s174">BIOENERGY CROPLAND</span>, <span class="s175">FOREST</span>, and <span class="s176">NATURAL LAND</span>. The lines show the median across Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) for three alternative shared socioeconomic pathways ('''SSP1''', '''SSP2''' and '''SSP5''' at '''RCP1.9'''); shaded areas show the range across models. Note that pathways illustrate the effects of climate change mitigation but not those of climate change impacts or adaptation.</p>
<p><span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_288.png|52x132px|image]]</span></p>
<p><br />
</p>
<p>TS</p>
<ol>
<li><p>Sustainability-focused (SSP1) <span class="s6">Sustainability in land management, agricultural intensification, production and consumption patterns result in reduced need for agricultural land, despite increases in per capita food consumption. This land can instead be used for reforestation, afforestation, and bioenergy.</span></p></li>
<li><p>Middle of the road (SSP2 )</p>
<p>Societal as well as technological development follows historical patterns. Increased demand for land mitigation options such as bioenergy, reduced deforestation or afforestation decreases availability of agricultural land for food, feed and fibre.</p></li>
<li><p>Resource intensive (SSP5) <span class="s6">Resource-intensive production and consumption patterns, results in high baseline emissions. Mitigation focuses on technological solutions including substantial bioenergy and BECCS .</span></p></li></ol>

<p>Intensification and competing land uses contribute to declines in agricultural land.</p>
<p><br />
</p>
<p>SSP1 Sustainability-focused</p>
<p><span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_289.png|3x0px|image]]</span></p>
<p><span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_290.png|3x0px|image]]</span></p>
<p><span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_291.png|3x0px|image]]</span></p>
<p><span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_292.png|3x0px|image]]</span></p>
<p><span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_293.png|3x0px|image]]</span></p>
<p><span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_294.png|3x0px|image]]</span></p>
<p><span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_295.png|3x0px|image]]</span></p>
<p><span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_296.png|3x0px|image]]</span></p>
<p><span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_297.png|178x188px|image]]</span></p>
<p>Change in Land from 2010 (Mkm2) 10</p>
<p><br />
</p>
<p>7.5</p>
<p><br />
</p>
<p>5</p>
<p><br />
</p>
<p>2.5</p>
<p><br />
</p>
<p>0</p>
<p><br />
</p>
<p>-2.5</p>
<p><br />
</p>
<p>-5</p>
<p><br />
</p>
<p>-7.5</p>
<p><br />
</p>
<p>-10</p>
<p>SSP2 Middle of the road</p>
<p><span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_298.png|3x0px|image]]</span></p>
<p><span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_299.png|3x0px|image]]</span></p>
<p><span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_300.png|3x0px|image]]</span></p>
<p><span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_301.png|3x0px|image]]</span></p>
<p><span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_302.png|3x0px|image]]</span></p>
<p><span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_303.png|3x0px|image]]</span></p>
<p><span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_304.png|3x0px|image]]</span></p>
<p><span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_305.png|3x0px|image]]</span></p>
<p><span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_306.png|178x188px|image]]</span></p>
<p>Change in Land from 2010 (Mkm2) 10</p>
<p>F <span class="s179">7.5</span></p>
<p>5</p>
<p>BC</p>
<p>2.5</p>
<p>NL <span class="s179">0</span></p>
<p><br />
</p>
<p>-2.5</p>
<p><br />
</p>
<p>C <span class="s179">-5</span></p>
<p>P</p>
<p>-7.5</p>
<p><br />
</p>
<p>-10</p>
<p>SSP5 Resource intensive</p>
<p><span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_307.png|170x188px|image]]</span></p>
<p>Change in Land from 2010 (Mkm2) 10</p>
<p>BC <span class="s179">7.5 </span><span class="s185">BC</span></p>
<p>F</p>
<ol>
<li><p>F</p></li></ol>

<p><br />
</p>
<p>2.5</p>
<p><br />
</p>
<p>0 <span class="s188">NL</span></p>
<p><br />
</p>
<p>NL <span class="s179">-2.5</span></p>
<p>C <span class="s191">C</span></p>
<p>-5</p>
<p><br />
</p>
<p>P <span class="s179">-7.5</span></p>
<p>P</p>
<p>-10</p>
<p>2010</p>
<p>2025 2050 2075 2100</p>
<p>2010</p>
<p>2025 2050 2075 2100</p>
<p>2010</p>
<p>2025 2050 2075 2100</p>
<p><br />
</p>
<p><span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_308.png|7x5px|image]]</span> <span class="s193">CROPLAND </span><span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_309.png|7x5px|image]]</span><span class="s194"> </span><span class="s195">PASTURE </span><span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_310.png|7x5px|image]]</span><span class="s196"> </span><span class="s197">BIOENERGY CROPLAND </span><span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_311.png|7x5px|image]]</span><span class="s198"> </span><span class="s199">FOREST </span><span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_312.png|7x5px|image]]</span><span class="s200"> </span><span class="s201">NATURAL LAND</span></p>
<p><br />
</p>
<p>Figure TS.15 | Pathways linking socioeconomic development, mitigation responses and land (Panel A).</p>
<p><br />
</p></li>
<li><span id="land-use-and-land-cover-change-in-the-ssps"></span>
==== Land use and land cover change in the SSPs ====</li></ol>

<br />

<br />

SSP1

<br />

SSP2

<br />

SSP3

<br />

SSP4

<br />

SSP5

Quantitative indicators

for the SSPs

<br />

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_313.png|1x108px|image]]</span>

<div class="textbox" style="background:#E3E4E3;display:block;min-height:8.6pt;width:449.6pt;">
'''RCP2.6''' in 2050 5/5 -0.9 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -2.2 , 1.5 ) </span>1.3 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 0.4 , 1.9 ) </span>-1 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -4.7 , 1 ) </span><span class="s206">2.6 </span><span class="s207">( -0.1 , 8.4 ) </span>-3 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -4 , -2.4 )</span>

</div>

<div class="textbox" style="background:#E3E4E3;display:block;min-height:8.6pt;width:449.6pt;">
'''RCP1.9''' in 2050 5/5 0.5 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -4.9 , 1 ) </span>2.1 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 0.9 , 5 ) </span>-1.2 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -4.6 , -0.3 ) </span><span class="s206">3.4 </span><span class="s207">( -0.1 , 9.4 ) </span>-4.1 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -5.6 , -2.5 )</span>

</div>

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_314.png|5x5px|image]]</span> <span class="s202">2100</span>

<br />

<div class="textbox" style="background:#E3E4E3;display:block;min-height:8.6pt;width:449.6pt;">
'''RCP4.5''' in 2050 5/5 0.5 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -1 , 1.7 ) </span>0.8 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 0.5 , 1.3 ) </span>0.1 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -3.2 , 1.5 ) </span><span class="s206">0.6 </span><span class="s207">( -0.7 , 4.2 ) </span>-2.4 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -3.3 , -0.9 )</span>

</div>

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_315.png|5x5px|image]]</span> <span class="s202">2100</span>

<br />

<div class="textbox" style="background:#E3E4E3;display:block;min-height:8.6pt;width:449.6pt;">
'''Baseline''' in 2050 5/5 0.3 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -1.1 , 1.8 ) </span>0.5 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 0.2 , 1.4 ) </span>0.2 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -1.6 , 1.9 ) </span><span class="s206">-0.1 </span><span class="s207">( -0.8 , 1.1 ) </span>-1.5 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -2.9 , -0.2 )</span>

</div>

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_316.png|5x5px|image]]</span> <span class="s202">2100</span>

<br />

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_317.png|5x5px|image]]</span> <span class="s202">2100</span>

<br />

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_318.png|1x108px|image]]</span>

<div class="textbox" style="background:#E3E4E3;display:block;min-height:8.6pt;width:449.6pt;">
'''RCP2.6''' in 2050 5/5 -3.2 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -4.2 , 0.1 ) </span>2.2 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 1.7 , 4.7 ) </span>0.6 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -1.9 , 1.9 ) </span><span class="s206">1.6 </span><span class="s207">( -0.9 , 4.2 ) </span>-1.4 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -3.7 , 0.4 )</span>

</div>

<div class="textbox" style="background:#E3E4E3;display:block;min-height:8.6pt;width:449.6pt;">
'''RCP1.9''' in 2050 4/5 -2.2 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -7 , 0.6 ) </span>4.5 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 2.1 , 7 ) </span>-1.2 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -2 , 0.3 ) </span><span class="s206">3.4 </span><span class="s207">( -0.9 , 7 ) </span>-4.8 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -6.2 , -0.4 )</span>

</div>

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_319.png|5x5px|image]]</span> <span class="s202">2100</span>

<br />

<div class="textbox" style="background:#E3E4E3;display:block;min-height:8.6pt;width:449.6pt;">
'''RCP4.5''' in 2050 5/5 -2.2 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -2.2 , 0.7 ) </span>1.5 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 0.1 , 2.1 ) </span>1.2 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -0.9 , 2.7 ) </span><span class="s206">-0.9 </span><span class="s207">( -2.5 , 2.9 ) </span>-0.1 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -2.5 , 1.6 )</span>

</div>

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_320.png|5x5px|image]]</span> <span class="s202">2100</span>

<br />

<div class="textbox" style="background:#E3E4E3;display:block;min-height:8.6pt;width:449.6pt;">
'''Baseline''' in 2050 5/5 -1.5 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -2.6 , -0.2 ) </span>0.7 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 0 , 1.5 ) </span>1.3 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 1 , 2.7 ) </span><span class="s206">-1.3 </span><span class="s207">( -2.5 , -0.4 ) </span>-0.1 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -1.2 , 1.6 )</span>

</div>

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_321.png|5x5px|image]]</span> <span class="s202">2100</span>

<br />

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_322.png|5x5px|image]]</span> <span class="s202">2100</span>

<br />

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_323.png|1x108px|image]]</span>

<div class="textbox" style="background:#E3E4E3;display:block;min-height:8.6pt;width:449.6pt;">
<span class="s203">RCP2.6 </span><span style=" color: #231F20;">in 2050 </span><span style=" color: #656364;">Infeasible in all assessed models </span>- - <span class="s207">- </span>-

</div>

<div class="textbox" style="background:#E3E4E3;display:block;min-height:8.6pt;width:449.6pt;">
<span class="s203">RCP1.9 </span><span style=" color: #231F20;">in 2050 </span><span style=" color: #656364;">Infeasible in all assessed models </span>- - <span class="s207">- </span>-

</div>

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_324.png|5x5px|image]]</span> <span class="s202">2100</span>

<br />

<div class="textbox" style="background:#E3E4E3;display:block;min-height:8.6pt;width:449.6pt;">
'''RCP4.5''' in 2050 3/3 -3.4 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -4.4 , -2 ) </span>1.3 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 1.3 , 2 ) </span>2.3 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 1.2 , 3 ) </span><span class="s206">-2.4 </span><span class="s207">( -4 , -1 ) </span>2.1 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -0.1 , 3.8 )</span>

</div>

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_325.png|5x5px|image]]</span> <span class="s202">2100</span>

<br />

<div class="textbox" style="background:#E3E4E3;display:block;min-height:8.6pt;width:449.6pt;">
'''Baseline''' in 2050 4/4 -3 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -4.6 , -1.7 ) </span>1 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 0.2 , 1.5 ) </span>2.5 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 1.5 , 3 ) </span><span class="s206">-2.5 </span><span class="s207">( -4 , -1.5 ) </span>2.4 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 0.6 , 3.8 )</span>

</div>

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_326.png|5x5px|image]]</span> <span class="s202">2100</span>

<br />

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_327.png|5x5px|image]]</span> <span class="s202">2100</span>

<br />

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_328.png|1x108px|image]]</span>

<div class="textbox" style="background:#E3E4E3;display:block;min-height:8.6pt;width:449.6pt;">
'''RCP2.6''' in 2050 3/3 -4.5 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -6 , -2.1 ) </span>3.3 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 1.5 , 4.5 ) </span>0.5 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -0.1 , 0.9 ) </span><span class="s206">0.7 </span><span class="s207">( -0.3 , 2.2 ) </span>-0.6 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -0.7 , 0.1 )</span>

</div>

<div class="textbox" style="background:#E3E4E3;display:block;min-height:8.6pt;width:449.6pt;">
<span class="s203">RCP1.9 </span><span style=" color: #231F20;">in 2050 </span><span style=" color: #656364;">Infeasible in all assessed models** </span>- - <span class="s207">- </span>-

</div>

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_329.png|5x5px|image]]</span> <span class="s202">2100</span>

<br />

<div class="textbox" style="background:#E3E4E3;display:block;min-height:8.6pt;width:449.6pt;">
'''RCP4.5''' in 2050 3/3 -2.7 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -4.4 , -0.4 ) </span>1.7 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 1 , 1.9 ) </span>1.1 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -0.1 , 1.7 ) </span><span class="s206">-1.8 </span><span class="s207">( -2.3 , 2.1 ) </span>0.8 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -0.5 , 1.5 )</span>

</div>

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_330.png|5x5px|image]]</span> <span class="s202">2100</span>

<br />

<div class="textbox" style="background:#E3E4E3;display:block;min-height:8.6pt;width:449.6pt;">
'''Baseline''' in 2050 3/3 -2.8 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -2.9 , -0.2 ) </span>1.1 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 0.7 , 2 ) </span>1.1 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 0.7 , 1.8 ) </span><span class="s206">-1.8 </span><span class="s207">( -2.3 , -1 ) </span>1.5 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -0.5 , 2.1 )</span>

</div>

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_331.png|5x5px|image]]</span> <span class="s202">2100</span>

<br />

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_332.png|5x5px|image]]</span> <span class="s202">2100</span>

<br />

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_333.png|1x108px|image]]</span>

<div class="textbox" style="background:#E3E4E3;display:block;min-height:8.6pt;width:449.6pt;">
'''RCP2.6''' in 2050 4/4 -3.4 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -6.9 , 0.3 ) </span>4.8 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 3.8 , 5.1 ) </span>-2.1 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -4 , 1 ) </span><span class="s206">3.9 </span><span class="s207">( -0.1 , 6.7 ) </span>-4.4 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -5 , 0.2 )</span>

</div>

<div class="textbox" style="background:#E3E4E3;display:block;min-height:8.6pt;width:449.6pt;">
'''RCP1.9''' in 2050 2/4 -1.5 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -3.9 , 0.9 ) </span>6.7 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 6.2 , 7.2 ) </span>-1.9 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -3.5 , -0.4 ) </span><span class="s206">3.1 </span><span class="s207">( -0.1 , 6.3 ) </span>-6.4 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -7.7 , -5.1 )</span>

</div>

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_334.png|5x5px|image]]</span> <span class="s202">2100</span>

<br />

<div class="textbox" style="background:#E3E4E3;display:block;min-height:8.6pt;width:449.6pt;">
'''RCP4.5''' in 2050 4/4 -2.5 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -3.7 , 0.2 ) </span>1.7 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 0.6 , 2.9 ) </span>0.6 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -3.3 , 1.9 ) </span><span class="s206">-0.1 </span><span class="s207">( -1.7 , 6 ) </span>-1.2 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -2.6 , 2.3 )</span>

</div>

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_335.png|5x5px|image]]</span> <span class="s202">2100</span>

<br />

<div class="textbox" style="background:#E3E4E3;display:block;min-height:8.6pt;width:449.6pt;">
'''Baseline''' in 2050 4/4 -0.6 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -3.8 , 0.4 ) </span>0.8 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 0 , 2.1 ) </span>1.5 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -0.7 , 3.3 ) </span><span class="s206">-1.9 </span><span class="s207">( -3.4 , 0.5 ) </span>-0.1 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -1.5 , 2.9 )</span>

</div>

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_336.png|5x5px|image]]</span> <span class="s202">2100</span>

<br />

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_337.png|5x5px|image]]</span> <span class="s202">2100</span>

Count of models included*

Change in Natural Land from 2010 Mkm

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_338.png|85x1px|image]]</span>

<br />

0 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -7.3 , 7.1 )</span>

<br />

0.2 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -3.5 , 1.1 )</span>

<br />

1.8 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -1.7 , 6 )</span>

<br />

3.3 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -0.3 , 5.9 )</span>

<br />

-2.3 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -9.6 , 2.7 )</span>

<br />

-5.2 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -7.2 , 0.5 )</span>

<br />

-3.4 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -4.7 , 1.5 )</span>

<br />

-2.1 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -5.9 , 0.3 )</span>

<br />

-6.2 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -6.8 , -5.4 )</span>

<br />

-5 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -7.1 , -4.2 )</span>

<br />

-5.8 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -10.2 , -4.7 )</span>

<br />

-2.8 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -7.8 , -2 )</span>

<br />

-2.4 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -5 , -1 )</span>

<br />

-0.5 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -4.2 , 3.2 )</span>

<br />

-4.3 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -8.4 , 0.5 )</span>

<br />

-4.1 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -4.6 , 0.7 )</span>

<br />

-0.2 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -2.4 , 1.8 )</span>

Change in Bioenergy Cropland from 2010 Mkm

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_339.png|85x1px|image]]</span>

<br />

4.3 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 1.5 , 7.2 )</span>

<br />

5.1 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 1.6 , 6.3 )</span>

<br />

1.9 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 1.4 , 3.7 )</span>

<br />

1.8 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 1.4 , 2.4 )</span>

<br />

6.6 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 3.6 , 11 )</span>

<br />

6.9 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 2.3 , 10.8 )</span>

<br />

4.1 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 0.4 , 6.3 )</span>

<br />

1.2 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 0.1 , 2.4 )</span>

<br />

-

<br />

-

<br />

4.6 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 1.5 , 7.1 )</span>

<br />

1.1 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 0.9 , 2.5 )</span>

<br />

-

<br />

2.5 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 2.3 , 15.2 )</span>

<br />

2.7 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 2.3 , 4.7 )</span>

<br />

1.7 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 1.4 , 2.6 )</span>

<br />

7.6 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 7.2 , 8 )</span>

<br />

9.1 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 7.7 , 9.2 )</span>

<br />

4.8 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 2 , 8 )</span>

<br />

1 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 0.2 , 2.3 )</span>

Change in Cropland from 2010

Mkm

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_340.png|85x1px|image]]</span>

<br />

-5.2 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -7.6 , -1.8 )</span>

<br />

-3.2 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -7.7 , -1.8 )</span>

<br />

-2.3 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -6.4 , -1.6 )</span>

<br />

-1.5 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -5.7 , -0.9 )</span>

<br />

-2.9 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -4 , 0.1 )</span>

<br />

-1.4 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -4 , 0.8 )</span>

<br />

0.7 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -2.6 , 3.1 )</span>

<br />

1.9 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 0.8 , 2.8 )</span>

<br />

-

<br />

-

<br />

3.4 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 1.9 , 4.5 )</span>

<br />

5.1 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 3.8 , 6.1 )</span>

<br />

-

<br />

-0.8 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -0.8 , 1.8 )</span>

<br />

1.1 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 0.2 , 1.2 )</span>

<br />

1.2 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 1.2 , 1.9 )</span>

<br />

-3.4 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -6.2 , -0.5 )</span>

<br />

-3.3 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -6.5 , -0.5 )</span>

<br />

-1 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -5.5 , 1 )</span>

<br />

1 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -2 , 2.5 )</span>

Change in Forest from 2010

Mkm

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_341.png|85x1px|image]]</span>

<br />

7.5 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 0.4 , 15.8 )</span>

<br />

6.6 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -0.1 , 10.5 )</span>

<br />

3.9 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 0.2 , 8.8 )</span>

<br />

0.9 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 0.3 , 3 )</span>

<br />

6.4 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -0.8 , 9.5 )</span>

<br />

5.6 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -0.9 , 5.9 )</span>

<br />

-0.5 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -3.1 , 5.9 )</span>

<br />

-1.3 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -2.7 , -0.2 )</span>

<br />

-

<br />

-

<br />

-3.1 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -5.5 , -0.3 )</span>

<br />

-5.3 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -6 , -2.6 )</span>

<br />

-

<br />

1.4 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -1.7 , 4.1 )</span>

<br />

-0.7 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -2.6 , 1 )</span>

<br />

-2.4 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -2.5 , -2 )</span>

<br />

4.7 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 0.1 , 9.4 )</span>

<br />

3.9 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -0.1 , 9.3 )</span>

<br />

-0.2 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -1.4 , 9.1 )</span>

<br />

-2.1 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -3.4 , 1.1 )</span>

Change in Pasture from 2010

Mkm

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_342.png|85x1px|image]]</span>

<br />

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_343.png|52x132px|image]]</span>

<br />

TS

-6.5 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -12.2 , -4.8 )</span>

<br />

-5.5 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -9.9 , -4.2 )</span>

<br />

-4.6 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -7.3 , -2.7 )</span>

<br />

-2.1 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -7 , 0 )</span>

<br />

-7.6 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -11.7 , -1.3 )</span>

<br />

-7.2 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -8 , 0.5 )</span>

<br />

-2.8 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -5.3 , 1.9 )</span>

<br />

-0.2 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -1.9 , 2.1 )</span>

<br />

-

<br />

-

<br />

2 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -2.5 , 4.4 )</span>

<br />

3.4 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( 0.9 , 6.4 )</span>

<br />

-

<br />

-1.2 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -2.5 , -0.2 )</span>

<br />

1.4 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -1 , 1.8 )</span>

<br />

1.3 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -1 , 4.4 )</span>

<br />

-8.5 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -10.7 , -6.2 )</span>

<br />

-6.3 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -9.1 , -1.4 )</span>

<br />

-3 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -5.2 , 2.1 )</span>

<br />

-0.4 <span style=" color: #373B3D;">( -2.4 , 2.8 )</span>

<br />

\* Count of models included / Count of models attempted. One model did not provide land data and is excluded from all entries.

\** One model could reach RCP1.9 with SSP4, but did not provide land data.

<br />

Figure TS.15 | Pathways linking socioeconomic development, mitigation responses and land (Panel B).

<br />

<span class="s5">Figure TS.15 (continued): </span>Future scenarios provide a framework for understanding the implications of mitigation and socioeconomics on land. The SSPs span a range of different socioeconomic assumptions (Box SPM.1). They are combined with Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs)<span class="s52">2 </span>which imply different levels of mitigation. The changes in cropland, pasture, bioenergy cropland, forest, and natural land from 2010 are shown. For this Figure, Cropland includes all land in food, feed, and fodder crops, as well as other arable land (cultivated area). This category includes first generation non-forest bioenergy crops (e.g., corn for ethanol, sugar cane for ethanol, soybeans for biodiesel), but excludes second generation bioenergy crops. Pasture includes categories of pasture land, not only high-quality rangeland, and is based on FAO definition of ‘permanent meadows and pastures’. Bioenergy cropland includes land dedicated to second generation energy crops (e.g., switchgrass, miscanthus, fast-growing wood species). Forest includes managed and unmanaged forest. Natural land includes other grassland, savannah, and shrubland. <span class="s5">Panel A: </span>This panel shows integrated assessment model (IAM)<span class="s52">3 </span>results for SSP1, SSP2 and SSP5 at RCP1.9.<span class="s52">4 </span>For each pathway, the shaded areas show the range across all IAMs; the line indicates the median across models. For RCP1.9, SSP1, SSP2 and SSP5 results are from five, four and two IAMs respectively. <span class="s5">Panel B</span>: Land use and land cover change are indicated for various SSP-RCP combinations, showing multi-model median and range (min, max). (Box SPM.1) {1.3.2, 2.7.2, 6.1, 6.4.4, 7.4.2, 7.4.4, 7.4.5, 7.4.6, 7.4.7, 7.4.8, 7.5.3,

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_344.png|52x132px|image]]</span>

<br />

TS

7.5.6, Cross-Chapter Box 1 in Chapter 1, Cross-Chapter Box 9 in Chapter 6}

<br />

<span>[[File:SRCCL_Technical-Summary_files/Image_345.png|286x1px|image]]</span>

<br />

# Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) are scenarios that include timeseries of emissions and concentrations of the full suite of GHGs and aerosols and chemically active gases, as well as land use/land cover.
# Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) integrate knowledge from two or more domains into a single framework. In this figure, IAMs are used to assess linkages between economic, social and technological development and the evolution of the climate system.
# The RCP1.9 pathways assessed in this report have a 66% chance of limiting warming to 1.5°C in 2100, but some of these pathways overshoot 1.5°C of warming during the 21st century by &gt;0.1°C.