Editing IPCC:AR6/SR15/Chapter-5 (section)

== 5.5.3 Climate-Resilient Development Pathways ==

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This section assesses the literature on pathways as solution-oriented trajectories and decision-making processes for attaining transformative visions for a 1.5°C warmer world. It builds on climate-resilient development pathways (CRDPs) introduced in the AR5 (Section 5.1.2) (Olsson et al., 2014) <sup>[[#fn:r303|303]]</sup> as well as growing literature (e.g., Eriksen et al., 2017; Johnson, 2017; Orindi et al., 2017; Kirby and O’Mahony, 2018; Solecki et al., 2018) <sup>[[#fn:r304|304]]</sup> that uses CRDPs as a conceptual and aspirational idea for steering societies towards low-carbon, prosperous and ecologically safe futures. Such a notion of pathways foregrounds decision-making processes at local to national levels to situate transformation, resilience, equity and well-being in the complex reality of specific places, nations and communities (Harris et al., 2017; Ziervogel et al., 2017; Fazey et al., 2018; Gajjar et al., 2018; Klinsky and Winkler, 2018; Patterson et al., 2018; Tàbara et al., 2018) <sup>[[#fn:r305|305]]</sup> .

Pathways compatible with 1.5°C warming are not merely scenarios to envision possible futures but processes of deliberation and implementation that address societal values, local priorities and inevitable trade-offs. This includes attention to politics and power that perpetuate business-as-usual trajectories (O’Brien, 2016; Harris et al., 2017) <sup>[[#fn:r306|306]]</sup> , the politics that shape sustainability and capabilities of everyday life (Agyeman et al., 2016; Schlosberg et al., 2017) <sup>[[#fn:r307|307]]</sup> , and ingredients for community resilience and transformative change (Fazey et al., 2018) <sup>[[#fn:r308|308]]</sup> . Chartering CRDPs encourages locally situated and problem-solving processes to negotiate and operationalize resilience ‘on the ground’ (Beilin and Wilkinson, 2015; Harris et al., 2017; Ziervogel et al., 2017) <sup>[[#fn:r309|309]]</sup> . This entails contestation, inclusive governance and iterative engagement of diverse populations with varied needs, aspirations, agency and rights claims, including those most affected, to deliberate trade-offs in a multiplicity of possible pathways ( ''high confidence'' ) (see Figure 5.5) (Stirling, 2014; Vale, 2014; Walsh-Dilley and Wolford, 2015; Biermann et al., 2016; J.R.A. Butler et al., 2016; O’Brien, 2016, 2018; Harris et al., 2017; Jones and Tanner, 2017; Mapfumo et al., 2017; Rosenbloom, 2017; Gajjar et al., 2018; Klinsky and Winkler, 2018; Lyon, 2018; Tàbara et al., 2018) <sup>[[#fn:r310|310]]</sup> .

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====== Figure 5.5 ======

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==== Pathways into the future, with path dependencies and iterative problem-solving and decision-making (after Fazey et al., 2016) <sup>[[#fn:r311|311]]</sup> . ====

[[File:1e5c5b8293e20ec5b1812a8753f58003 Figure5.5-1024x713.jpg|thumb|400x300px]]

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