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==== Spatial and seasonal pattern of present-day warming. ==== [[File:0d0ae08f34a1c5aefaca52ef4759d334 Figure-1.3-1024x854.png|thumb|400x300px]] Regional warming for the 2006β2015 decade relative to 1850β1900 for the annual mean (top), the average of December, January, and February (bottom left) and for June, July, and August (bottom right). Warming is evaluated by regressing regional changes in the Cowtan and Way (2014) <sup>[[#fn:r105|105]]</sup> dataset onto the total (combined human and natural) externally forced warming (yellow line in Figure 1.2). See Supplementary Material 1.SM for further details and versions using alternative datasets. The definition of regions (green boxes and labels in top panel) is adopted from the AR5 (Christensen et al., 2013) <sup>[[#fn:r106|106]]</sup> . <span id="definition-of-1.5c-pathways-probability-transience-stabilization-and-overshoot"></span>
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