Editing IPCC:AR6/SR15/Chapter-3 (section)

==== Land and people exposed to sea level rise (SLR), assuming no protection at all. Extracted from Brown et al. (2018a) and Goodwin et al. (2018). SSP: Shared Socio- Economic Pathway; wrt: with respect to; *: Population held constant at 2100 level. ====

{| class="wikitable"
|-
! rowspan="2"| Climate scenario
! rowspan="2"| Impact factor, assuming there is no adaptation or protection at all (50th, [5th-95th percentiles])
! colspan="4"| Year
|-
! 2050
! 2100
! 2200
! 2300
|-
| 1.5°C
| Temperature rise wrt 1850–1900 (°C)
| 1.71
(1.44–2.16)

| 1.60
(1.26–2.33)

| 1.41
(1.15–2.10)

| 1.32
(1.12–1.81)

|-
|
| SLR (m) wrt 1986–2005
| 0.20
(0.14–0.29)

| 0.40
(0.26–0.62)

| 0.73
(0.47–1.25)

| 1.00
(0.59–1.55)

|-
|
| Land exposed (x10 <sup>3</sup> km <sup>2</sup> )
| 574
[558–597]

| 620
[575–669]

| 666
[595–772]

| 702
[666–853]

|-
|
| People exposed, SSP1–5 (millions)
| 127.9–139.0
[123.4–134.0,<br />
134.5–146.4]

| 102.7–153.5
[94.8–140.7,<br />
102.7–153.5]

| —
| 133.8–207.1
[112.3–169.6, 165.2–263.4]*

|-
| 2°C
| Temperature rise wrt 1850–1900 (° C)
| 1.76
(1.51–2.16)

| 2.03
(1.72–2.64)

| 1.90
(1.66–2.57)

| 1.80
(1.60–2.20)

|-
|
| SLR (m) wrt 1986-2005

| 0.20
(0.14–0.29)

| 0.46
(0.30–0.69)

| 0.90
(0.58–1.50)

| 1.26
(0.74–1.90)

|-
|
| Land exposed (x10 <sup>3</sup> km <sup>2</sup> )

| 575
[558–598]

| 637
[585–686]

| 705
[618–827]

| 767
[642–937]

|-
|
| People exposed, SSP1–5 (millions)

| 128.1–139.2
[123.6–134.2,<br />
134.7–146.6]

| 105.5–158.1
[97.0–144.1,<br />
118.1–179.0]

| —
| 148.3–233.0
[120.3–183.4, 186.4–301.8]*

|}

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